QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 22 июля 2024

Опубликовано: 21 июля 2024 в 1231 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 40721
Состояние солнечной активности на 21 июля 2024, 1230UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Спокойное состояние (A<20 and K<4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 21 июля 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 204 / AP-индекс: 006
Прогноз на 22 июля 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 206 / AP-индекс: 003
Прогноз на 23 июля 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 202 / AP-индекс: 004
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity was moderate with three M1 flares detected during the past 24 hours. NOAA Active Region (AR) 3744 (magnetic configuration Beta, Catania sunspot group no 96) produced the first two flares, an M1.5 at 20 Jul 18:49 UTC and an M1.4 at 21 Jul 03:55 UTC. NOAA AR 3751 (magnetic configuration Beta-Gamma-Delta, Catania sunspot group no 12) produced the third, an M1.5 at 21 Jul 08:34 UTC. Further M-class flaring activity is likely, mostly from the AR mentioned above, and there is a small chance of an X-class flare in the next 24 hours. Coronal mass ejections: No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) were observed in the last 24 hours. Solar wind: Solar Wind (SW) conditions remained typical of the slow SW regime during the past 24 hours. The SW speed varied between 310 and 380 km/s, while the total interplanetary magnetic field (Bt) ranged between 2 and 10 nT during the past 24 hours. The North-South magnetic component (Bz) fluctuated between -4 and 6 nT, while the interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was directed predominately towards the Sun in the past 24 hours. The SW conditions are expected to follow the same pattern for the next 24 hours. Geomagnetism: During the last 24 hours geomagnetic conditions were globally quiet (NOAA Kp 1 to 2+), while locally they had a brief period of unsettled conditions (K BEL 3 at 20 Jul 15:00-21:00 UTC). They are expected to remain quiet both globally and locally in the next 24 hours. Proton flux levels: The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is likely to remain so. Nevertheless, there is a small chance of a proton event associated with the activity of NOAA active region 3751. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by the GOES-16 satellite, was at nominal levels during the last 24 hours and is expected to remain at these levels during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at very low levels during the past 24 hours and is expected to remain at these levels for the following 24 hours.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 225,
получено на основе анализа результатов 12 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 20 Jul 2024
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): ///
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 207
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 014
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 009
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 010
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 232,
получено на основе анализа результатов 21 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
20 1836 1849 1902 N12W68 M1.5 1N 96/3744 VI/1
21 0346 0355 0359 ////// M1.4 96/3744 VI/2
21 0828 0834 0841 ////// M1.5 12/3751