QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 10 июля 2024

Опубликовано: 09 июля 2024 в 1232 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 40709
Состояние солнечной активности на 09 июля 2024, 1230UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Спокойное состояние (A<20 and K<4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 09 июля 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 168 / AP-индекс: 009
Прогноз на 10 июля 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 167 / AP-индекс: 015
Прогноз на 11 июля 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 166 / AP-индекс: 014
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity over the past 24 hours was at moderate levels with background C-class flaring and an impulsive M1.1 flare, peak time 12:41 UTC on July 08, associated with an active region behind the south-east limb, which is currently rotating onto the visible disc and continues to produce C-class flares. Another unnumbered active region has rotated from the south-east limb and has contributed to the background flaring activity. There are five numbered active regions on the visible disk with NOAA AR 3738 (beta-gamma) remaining the largest and magnetically most complex region, responsible for majority of the flaring activity on the visible solar disk. The solar flaring activity is likely to be at low to moderate levels over the coming days with 60% chance for M-class flaring and 10% chances for isolated X-class flaring. Coronal mass ejections: No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours. Solar wind: Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) were indicative of background slow solar wind conditions. The solar wind velocity weakly varied between 355 km/s to 438 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field registered a maximum value of 8.6 nT and a minimum Bz of -5 nT. The B field phi angle was switching between the negative and positive sectors. The solar wind conditions are expected to be at background solar wind conditions throughout July 09. Weak enhancements are possible on July 10 and July 11 with expected mild high speed stream arrivals. Geomagnetism: The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were globally quiet to unsettled and locally over Belgium reached active levels between 15:00 and 16:00 UTC on July 08. Mostly quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected throughout July 09. Quiet to active conditions are expected for late on July 10 and July 11 with anticipated high speed stream arrivals. Proton flux levels: Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at background levels and is expected to remain so over the next days. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 16 and GOES 18 was below the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so in the upcoming days. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal level and is expected to remain so in the next days.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 140,
получено на основе анализа результатов 22 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 08 Jul 2024
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): 140
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 169
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 019
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 012
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 013
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 111,
получено на основе анализа результатов 28 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
08 1234 1241 1246 S23E78 M1.1 SF ///////