QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 4 января 2026

Опубликовано: 03 января 2026 в 1238 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 60103
Состояние солнечной активности на 03 января 2026, 1237UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Слабая магнитная буря (A>=30, K=5)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 03 января 2026: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 164 / AP-индекс: 020
Прогноз на 04 января 2026: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 164 / AP-индекс: 017
Прогноз на 05 января 2026: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 162 / AP-индекс: 032
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours. The largest flare was a C2.9 flare (SIDC Flare 6567) peaking on January 03 at 01:37 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 744 (NOAA Active Region 4324). This region has reduced in size over the period and has Beta-Delta magnetic configuration. There are currently 8 numbered regions on the disk. SIDC Sunspot Group 745 (NOAA Active Region 4325, Beta configuration) is the largest region on disk and also produced low level C-class flares, but became less complex magnetically. SIDC Sunspot Group 709 (NOAA Active Region 4323) developed into a bipolar region (beta magnetic configuration). A new region emerged in the south-west quadrant and was numbered SIDC Sunspot Group 753 (alpha magnetic configuration). SIDC Sunspot Group 749 (NOAA Active Region 4331) decayed over the period. The remaining regions are simple and mostly quiet or in decay. Solar flaring activity is expected to be moderate over the next 24 hours, with M-class flares expected and a chance for X-class flares. Coronal mass ejections: No new Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejection (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraph imagery. Solar wind: Over the past 24 hours, the solar wind parameters were enhanced. It is unclear if this is due to the ongoing high speed stream or in combination with an earlier than expected weak glancing blow CME arrival of the CME of January 31. The solar wind speed ranged between 500 and 700 km/s. The total magnetic field ranged between 2 and 10 nT, and Bz had a minimum of -9 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was mostly in the negative sector (directed towards the Sun). Further disturbed solar wind conditions are expected over the next 24 hours, due ongoing high speed stream and possible further CME effects. Further enhancements are possible from late on January 04 due to the arrival of a CME from January 01. Geomagnetism: Over the past 24 hours, the geomagnetic conditions reached minor storm levels globally (NOAA Kp 5) and active levels locally (K BEL 4). Active to minor storm conditions are expected for the next 24 hours, with moderate storm intervals possible, particularly from January 04, due to the ongoing high speed stream and further CME effects. Proton flux levels: The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was below the 10 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain below this threshold level over the next 24 hours. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES-18 and GOES-19 satellites, exceeded the 1000 pfu threshold. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to again exceed the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours. The electron fluence was at moderate levels and is expected to be at moderate levels for the next 24 hours.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 105,
получено на основе анализа результатов 09 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 02 Jan 2026
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): 121
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 166
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 044
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 032
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 031
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 123,
получено на основе анализа результатов 17 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
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