QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 2 января 2026

Опубликовано: 01 января 2026 в 1240 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 60101
Состояние солнечной активности на 01 января 2026, 1239UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Возмущенное (A>=20, K=4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 01 января 2026: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 165 / AP-индекс: 022
Прогноз на 02 января 2026: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 160 / AP-индекс: 018
Прогноз на 03 января 2026: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 155 / AP-индекс: 044
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours. The largest flare was a M7.1 flare (SIDC Flare 6547) peaking on December 31 at 13:51 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 744 (NOAA Active Region 4324). This region along with SIDC Sunspot Group 745 (NOAA Active Region 4325) are the largest and most complex on disk. Sunspot Group 745 (NOAA Active Region 4325, Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic configuration) produced a C9.6 flare (SIDC Flare 6553) with peak time 02:25 UTC on January 01. SIDC Sunspot Group 735 (NOAA Active Region 4317) has rotated over the west limb. SIDC Sunspot Group 748 (NOAA Active Regions 4329) decayed. There are currently 7 numbered regions on the disk . The remaining regions are simple and mostly quiet. Solar flaring activity is expected to be moderate over the next 24 hours, with M-class flares expected and a chance for X-class flares. Coronal mass ejections: A partial halo Coronal Mass Ejection (CME), predominantly directed to the north-east, was observed in LASCO-C2 data from 14:12 UTC on December 31. The CME originated from SIDC Sunspot Group 744 (NOAA Active Region 4324) in the north-east quadrant and was associated with an M7.1 flare (SIDC flare 6547), with peak time December 31 at 13:51 UTC. This eruption had an associated on disk dimming and a Type II and Type IV radio emission. Analysis indicates a possible impact at Earth from early on January 03. A CME directed to the south-east, first seen in SOHO/LASCO-C2 data from 06:36 UTC on January 01, is likely associated with a filament eruption near the south-east limb and is being analysed for a possible Earth directed component. A second CME to the east overlapping this CME in LASCO-C2 data from 06:18 UTC, from a sympathetic eruption, is also being analysed. Solar wind: Over the past 24 hours, there was a slight enhancement in the solar wind speed likely due to a weak high speed stream arrival. The solar wind speed ranged between 400 and 550 km/s and was stable around 500 km/s at the end of the period. The total magnetic field ranged between 3 and 12 nT, and Bz had a minimum of -8 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle switch from the positive to the negative sector (directed towards the Sun) from around 12:20 UTC December 31. Enhanced solar wind conditions are expected over the next 24 hours due to the ongoing high speed stream and a possible glancing blow arrival of a CME from December 28. The CME from December 31, may also impact the solar wind conditions from early on January 03. Geomagnetism: Geomagnetic conditions were at quiet to unsettled levels globally (NOAA Kp 1 to 3) and locally (K BEL 1 to 3) over the past 24 hours. Active storm conditions are expected over the next 24 hours, with minor storm intervals possible, due to the high speed stream and glancing blow CME arrival. Proton flux levels: The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was below the 10 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain below this threshold level over the next 24 hours. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES-18 and GOES-19 satellites, was briefly above the 1000 pfu threshold. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to again briefly exceed the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours but is expected to continue to gradually decrease overall. The electron fluence was at nominal to moderate levels and is expected to be at nominal levels for the next 24 hours.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 117,
получено на основе анализа результатов 07 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 31 Dec 2025
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): ///
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 171
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 013
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 008
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 007
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 143,
получено на основе анализа результатов 21 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
31 1312 1351 1411 ////// M7.1 54/4324 II/1IV/2III/2