QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 8 июля 2024

Опубликовано: 07 июля 2024 в 1231 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 40707
Состояние солнечной активности на 07 июля 2024, 1230UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Спокойное состояние (A<20 and K<4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 07 июля 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 162 / AP-индекс: 008
Прогноз на 08 июля 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 158 / AP-индекс: 010
Прогноз на 09 июля 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 154 / AP-индекс: 010
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity over the past 24 hours was at moderate levels, with one M-class flares recorded. The largest flare was a M1.0-flare, with peak time 23:15 UTC on July 06 associated with active region NOAA AR 3738 (beta-gamma-delta). There are currently 8 numbered active regions on the visible disk. NOAA AR 3738 (beta-gamma- delta) was the largest and most magnetically complex regions on disk. Most of the flaring activity in the last 24 hours came from NOAA AR 3738 (beta- gamma-delta) and NOAA AR 3729 (beta). NOAA AR 3733 and NOAA AR 3729 have started to rotate over the west limb. The solar flaring activity is likely to be at moderate levels over the coming days with C-class flares expected, M-class flares likely and a small chance for an X-class flare. Coronal mass ejections: No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph images. Coronal holes: An equatorial positive polarity coronal hole is crossing the central meridian. A high-speed stream emanating from this coronal hole may impact the earth on July 10. Solar wind: Slow solar wind conditions were recorded over the past 24 hours. The solar wind speed varied within 309 – 362 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field varied between 2 nT and 6 nT, with the Bz reaching a minimum value of -5 nT. The phi-angle was mainly in the positive sector (directed away from the Sun) with periods in the negative sector. Slow solar wind conditions are expected in the next 24 hours. Geomagnetism: Geomagnetic conditions were globally quiet (Kp 1-2) and locally quiet to unsettled (K_Bel 1-3). Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected in the next 24 hours. Proton flux levels: Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at background levels and is expected to remain so over the next days. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 16 was below the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so in the upcoming days. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal level and is expected to remain so in the next days.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 126,
получено на основе анализа результатов 09 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 06 Jul 2024
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): ///
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 166
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 008
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 004
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 004
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 121,
получено на основе анализа результатов 19 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
06 2252 2315 2335 ////// M1.0 85/3738