QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 24 июня 2024

Опубликовано: 23 июня 2024 в 1231 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 40623
Состояние солнечной активности на 23 июня 2024, 1230UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Возмущенное (A>=20, K=4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 23 июня 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 197 / AP-индекс: 014
Прогноз на 24 июня 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 197 / AP-индекс: 022
Прогноз на 25 июня 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 197 / AP-индекс: 010
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity over the last 24 hours has been at moderate levels, with multiple C-class flares and two M-class flares. The first was an M2.4 flare originating from NOAA active region 3716, peaking at 06:30 UTC on June 23. The second was an M1.3 flare originating from NOAA active region 3712, peaking at 11:37 UTC on June 23. Besides these two regions, there are five other sunspot groups on the disc showing C-class flaring activity. Solar flaring activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares expected, M-class flares possible, and a small chance of X-class flares. Coronal mass ejections: No Earth-directed CME was observed in SOHO/LASCO-C2 coronagraph images over the last 24 hours. Solar wind: Solar wind conditions initially returned to a slow solar wind regime in the last 24 hours. Around 00:00 UTC on June 23, some solar wind parameters became disturbed, reflecting the imminent arrival of the fast wind originating from the large north midlatitude coronal hole with negative polarity, which reached the central meridian on June 19. The interplanetary magnetic field reached up to 12 nT, and the Bz component varied between -11 nT and 8 nT. The solar wind speed remained below 375 km/s, and the phi angle turned to the negative sector. In the next 24 hours, solar wind conditions are expected to become more enhanced with the increase in solar wind speed. Geomagnetism: Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (NOAA Kp 0-2, K BEL 1-3). Later, active conditions to minor storms may be observed in response to the high-speed stream from the large north midlatitude coronal hole. Proton flux levels: The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was below the threshold level over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold level over the next 24 hours. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the threshold level in the last 24 hours and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence is presently at normal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 160,
получено на основе анализа результатов 15 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 22 Jun 2024
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): ///
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 196
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 008
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 004
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 003
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 152,
получено на основе анализа результатов 20 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
23 0616 0630 0648 N09W72 M2.4 1N ///3716
23 1126 1137 1150 S25W84 M1.2 SF ///3712